Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000963 0.001106 0.001250 0.001407 0.001573 0.001741 0.001926
2025-04-20 0.000695 0.000890 0.001096 0.001330 0.001583 0.001849 0.002146
2025-04-27 0.000487 0.000711 0.000960 0.001252 0.001579 0.001929 0.002329
2025-05-04 0.000387 0.000638 0.000931 0.001285 0.001689 0.002130 0.002639
2025-05-11 0.000253 0.000505 0.000819 0.001212 0.001675 0.002188 0.002789
2025-05-18 0.000145 0.000383 0.000704 0.001126 0.001635 0.002211 0.002895
2025-05-25 0.000083 0.000308 0.000640 0.001093 0.001654 0.002297 0.003069
2025-06-01 0.000033 0.000229 0.000559 0.001031 0.001631 0.002331 0.003181
2025-06-08 0.000010 0.000183 0.000516 0.001014 0.001660 0.002422 0.003355
2025-06-15 0.000003 0.000169 0.000521 0.001059 0.001765 0.002602 0.003632
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000129 0.000475 0.001031 0.001775 0.002669 0.003775
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000101 0.000446 0.001023 0.001809 0.002761 0.003946
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000086 0.000448 0.001076 0.001943 0.003001 0.004325
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000043 0.000379 0.001021 0.001936 0.003072 0.004506
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000013 0.000312 0.000960 0.001919 0.003130 0.004674
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000006 0.000304 0.000994 0.002031 0.003347 0.005032
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000245 0.000934 0.002008 0.003395 0.005187
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000185 0.000859 0.001961 0.003409 0.005298
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000153 0.000832 0.001978 0.003504 0.005506
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000113 0.000778 0.001953 0.003541 0.005643
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000093 0.000764 0.001984 0.003649 0.005865
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000096 0.000804 0.002099 0.003869 0.006225
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000075 0.000780 0.002113 0.003954 0.006417